Initiative 1033
Two recent polls from SurveyUSA and UW researchers on Initiative 1033 show a significant shift from less than a month ago. On October 6th a SurveyUSA poll showed 45% voting “Yes” on 1033 versus 32% voting “No” on 1033.
The most recent poll shows 49% voting “No” on 1033 and only 39% voting “Yes” on 1033.
Based on these numbers, it appears the No on 1033 campaign is starting to reach voters. That campaign has operated under the premise that the more people know about 1033, the more likely they are to vote against it.
One surprising demographic that “Yes” on 1033 is winning is the 18-34 age range, a group that is far less likely to own property (1033 would shift excess revenues to lower property taxes) and are far more likely to depend on public services (which stand to face myriad cuts if 1033 passes). “Yes on 1033″ is winning Conservative voters and leads in both Western and Eastern Washington, but lags far behind in Metro Seattle, illustrating the political might of Seattle.
Referendum 71
The Approve Referendum 71 campaign is also making gains in polls, picking up crucial undecideds. Polling at the beginning of the month put Approve R-71 45%-42% with 13% undecided. Now, Approve R-71 leads 50%-43% with only 7% undecided. All of those undecideds will need to be won by the Reject R-71 campaign if they hope to eliminate the “Everything but Marriage” law.
Ballot Returns To Date
A few days after ballots were received by voters, county auditors have been counting how many they have received. For example, in King County, of the 1,084,257 ballots mailed, 20.15% have been received.
Based on Secretary of State Sam Reed’s prediction of a 51% voter turnout, that means not even 40% of King County’s likely voters have returned their ballots. Those numbers mean that most people still have not mailed in their ballots.
In Snohomish County, the latest returns are at 23.77%, or 46.6% of Secretary Reed’s voter turnout prediction.
Posts Tagged ‘I-1033’
2009 Election Update
Monday, November 2nd, 2009Eyman to defend Initiative 1033 tonight
Monday, October 26th, 2009
Tim Eyman, 200 audience participants, broadcast to 125,000 households in Snohomish County – in one of the highest profile conversations in the region on this issue
“Civic Engagement,” a public affairs show hosted by DJ Wilson and broadcast on the Edmonds Community College cable channel 21/26, is organizing a ‘Town Hall-style’ forum on Initiative 1033. The event details are the following:
7:00 pm (doors open at 6:30 pm)
TONIGHT
October 26th, 2009
Black Box Theater at Edmonds Community College
20000 68th Ave West
Lynnwood WA 98036
DJ Wilson, Managing Editor of healthcareWA, will interview Tim Eyman on Initiative 1033, his involvement in state politics, and the state of government today. AUDIENCE MEMBERS WILL BE ALLOWED TO ASK QUESTIONS.
DJ Wilson, who also serves as the President of the Edmonds City Council (Snohomish County’s second largest city), will press Eyman to defend Initiative 1033, particularly in light of the difficult state of local and state budgets.
Coming off of a strong forum two weeks prior on Referendum 71 , the Domestic Partnership Bill, “Civic Engagement” and healthcareWA are proud to be hosting another high profile discussion of statewide measures in Snohomish County. The Referendum 71 event was covered by every major local television outlet, and numerous local newspapers, including the Everett Herald. Watch KOMO 4 News coverage here.
The Black Box Theater, in which the Forum will be held, seats 200 people. Students and faculty are reserved 30 tickets. The remaining 170 seats are divided between advocates of the two sides of the issue. Tickets are free, but are required for entrance.
Political importance of Snohomish County:
The “Eyman initiatives,” from anti-discrimination laws (I-200) in 1998 to motor vehicle taxes (I-776) and performance audits (I-900), Snohomish County has been a strong indicator of election results on Eyman sponsored initiatives statewide.
In fact, 8 out of the 11 Eyman sponsored initiatives on the ballot statewide since 1998, Snohomish County has been within 2% points of the final statewide result, and within a range of 4% of the other 3. Public opinion in Snohomish County is a leading indicator of statewide electoral success.
For ticket information, call Jolee Cano at 425-361-2118 or email her at jolee@healthcareWA.com.
Read the full press release here.
Reject 71 campaign uses robo calls to reach voters
Friday, October 23rd, 2009Last night healthcareWA received this robo call from the Reject Referendum 71 campaign. Click the link to listen to the robo call.
Reject 71 Robo Call
healthcareWA sponsored a forum on Referendum 71 and the “Everything but Marriage Law” almost two weeks ago at Edmonds Community College.
On Monday healthcareWA will sponsor a forum on Initiative 1033 with Tim Eyman. For more information about this event, email Randy.